Hyderabad Opening day selections

Hi all,

*****Update****  RACES WILL BE CONDUCTED AS SCHEDULE


First day of Monsoon season.City witnessed ample rains in last few weeks.Track looks very good.Horses returning from Bangalore sojourn will be fancied.Trainer L D Silva will have good season.Laxman Singh is the one who will fire all guns this season and should be followed.Vatsalya does well in initial period and will have say in maidens races.Prasad Raju's Stable fire all cylinders in Winter,will not be in limelight thru out this season,however Prasad Raju consider a win on opening day as good omen and hence all his charges irrespective of jockey are live forces.Trainer Srinivas has prepared his wards very well,all his horses will run prominently.Monsoon track is different from winter track.Monsoon track consists of  heavy sand  to absorb rain waters  and hence timings are slow,horses coming from behind will have better chance than frontrunners.I follow trackwork published in The Indian Express and for other information i look for Original Vel and Bol.Hope to have good season.

Coming to first day card looks mixed.Trainer Satyanarayana will hog limelight.

Race1:Craven Cottage(6)

Aficinado had good forward runs in Bangalore and on that count will be fancied,subsequent trackworks are not impressive and hence cannot be recommended for win.
On Previous form Young Sapper comes on top but this horse does not like to run with Blks,y trainer is persisting with that equipment is mystery.
Craven Cottage failed as hot fav due to stumbling,looks vastly improved as evident by pleasing track works,Jky Aadesh kumar is  testing it in trials for last 2 weeks,has good chance to run away to victory.
Splendid Knock will need more ground.
Pluto Queen has ability to upset.

Race2:Armador(4)

Interesting race.Youngsters have upper hand.
Armador is very good horse and will travel upto Cat1,Won very impressively and in subsequent ran easy in grade 3 race,should easily win this race,good bet of the day.
Art Connoisseur may be fancied due to Bangalore runs,i always believed that this horse is best for 1000mts,is not better than Pathfinder and Armador,has very very tough task,can be ignored for win.
Pathfinder should be strongly handled at bend or else this horses drifts out badly,will not like hot pace of the race,can only hope to place.
Flowers Of Music looks very well prepared and as such is moral for place.

Race3:Ziglar(5)

Upset is in store.
Ignore winter runs of Ziglar,looks vastly improved and can deliver in this set.
Key Note may recieve some support due to +ve switch of shoes and rider,looks well prepared,finished behind  Petradura in debut run,,may only place
Petradura could not capiltilise even in very very weak company,looks difficult.
Theatre Of Dreams will follow fate of Craven Cottage,looks well prepared,can kick on  gamely till end.
Sorbitrate comes on top based on its winter runs,has failed too many times,difficult to fancy a horse who could not gallop well on fast  track.
Fine Racer is hiding true form,can upset in this set.

Race4:Al Jameel(4)/Fusion Music(7)/Amontillado(9)

Race for non performers of winter season.Horses who have won more than once in Winter are not eligible in this race.

Kohinoor Diamond can be ignored as trainer usually opts for A shoes if on job.
Power Play won 4 races two years back,suffered set back and is non winner from then,has given good forward runs in winter,one cannot recommend a horse which is on down slide.
Tiara is one eyed horse,jockey has to concentrate on keeping his horse straight or else it would fall on to other horses during race,extremely difficult to recommend this horse for win.
Al Jameel is running in opt distance,tracking well but jockey is incompetent,still has upset chance in this weak set.
Cygnet is suited for 1100mts,will not sustain till end.
Cannon Hunt ran in all distances obivously aiming for weight reduction but now with scrapping for races of lowest class,it may now try to go all out,keep an eye for gamble.
Fusion Music needs hard riding,if apprentice boy is able to keep his ward with front runners then has chance to finish on board.
Amontillado could not deliver in very very poor set,can place in this set of non performers.
World Wide is struggling to find his  galloping foot even in tracks,can be ignored.


Race5:Lone Ranger(3)

Lone Ranger does not belong this set and can win easily inspite of -ve change of shoes.
Golden Flame has worked up well and will place.
Kohinoor King has good initial speed and can place in this set.Reason for selecting  this horse inspite of apprentice rider is its outermost box which will allow free movement initially and as such can pass other runners easily.

Reasons for ignoring other horses

One In All:Winner with A shoes,apprentice rider will not be able to make any impression in this big set.
Splendid Act:Notwithstanding a win in Monsoon iam compelled to say that this horse does not like Monsoon track and struggles to make an impact even at feather weight.
Jet Express  won a race last monsoon season where all runners were carrying 5kgs extra,will not be able to make any impression in this set.
Navija will do well in same age group,not here.
Green Mist does well on Winter tracks,looks least interested as evident by -ve change of shoes and under preparation.
Menlo Park is bleeder,did not travel to Bangalore with its stablemate,will need this run.
Yippee runs well on Winter tracks only.
Penumatcha needs more ground.
Mighty Prince is unprepared.
Victorous Sally has changed stables,urged in tracks,will need this run
Armada does well on winter tracks only,trainer opts for A shoes if on job.

Race6:Man On Fire(7)

Man On Fire looks well prepared and can win in this very poor set.
Allegation is back to same rating at which it won a race,is facing very medicore opposition but the  fact is  that this horse has not done well on Monsoon track.
Manki's last run can be ignored due to slipping of reins in last 100mts ,should run a bold race.
Indian Army is fully extended in tracks indicating its connections willingness to extend this horse in race,can place at lucrative odds.
Avon Gorge is the only horse in todays card who rated below 25 and as per new notification has to run in cat3 upto50,one can easily note the disadvantage it is having vis-a-vis Cannon Vision.It is entrusted to new trainer,R H Sequiera{brother in law of Netto},will be keen to make his presence feel but looks very difficult.
Golden Tricks,Kohinoor Fairytale:Trainer will opt for A shoes if on job,weak jky will not be able to extract best from this late finishing horses.
Pacific Groove ,Nandanvanaa ,Cannon Vision needs distance.



Race7:Rainbow Fog(8)

Rainbow Fog has shown tremendous turn of foot on both tracks,is blazing track,has very good chance to start this season on winning note.
Acciaccatura loves Monsoon track,is at tidy handicap,should place in this set.
Mayfair Girl looks well prepared and can place.
Aphrodisiac started his career with bang,won a race in Bangalore in 40-65 class,surprisingly struggled a lot in Winter,top weight will mar its chances.
One Mission is now running without Blks,is regular in tracks,can place at longer odds.

Other Horses who were ignored

Chestnut Charmer runs well in winter{all its 4 win in winter} with A shoes,will run easy.
Chesapeake, Reality Show,Suchiman needs distance,exercise jky astride.
Kohinoor Mystic,Zambo Anga will run in  A shoes if on job.
Hari Har Priya will not sustain over this distance.

Race8:Superfluous(7)

Superfluous has ran very good races along better horses,is regular in pool,can upset at
Caligatae is running in most apt distance,was surprised by Yipee in its last run,will lead all the way and can kick on till end,place looks certain.
Ruby Crown ran good forward races in strong company,can upset if given green signal,should be included in JP.
Danzsingh is running with -ve change of shoes,hence ignored.
Splendid Scot, Accordion,Standing Ovation looks underprepared,running with -ve change of shoes.
Fabulous Crown is bad carrier of top weight.
Al Jadeed is not responding in tracks,will need this run.

Race9:Collette(4)

Ignore winter runs of Collette,looks very good in this set and has good chance to win.
Currency Chest is regular in tracks,now runs with aid of Blks,can place.
Divine Ganges will run a prominent race,top weight will hinder its chances.
Vigoroso is running almost after 8 months,will need this run.
Anguna failed in its own age group,cannot make any impression here.
Sugar Baby is running with -ve change of shoes in hands of whipless rider,may not be able to make any impact.
Sparkling Flame failed as fav in lower class,has not even placed till now in this class.

Daysbest:Armador(2-4)

Double:Armador(2-4)-Rainbow Fog(7-8)