Wednesday, October 1, 2014

Mysore 1st October



Hi guys,

We all are aware of highly inconsistent timings of last few meetings of Mysore.I developed a new system to negate that effect.Presented here is the new ADVANCED version of DR which represents value according to class


Race1

Sl
Name
DR
12
ORDERED STEPS
602
11
FASHION FLAME
590
9
OUR COMMANDER
589
5
STAR OF DESIRE
587
7
ARTHUR
577
8
ENCOURAGER
573
3
SHINING BAY
554
6
VRAJANANDAN
553
10
SOMERSET ROSE
541
4
BATTLE EMPRESS
536
2
REVA
516
1
DANCING LAURIE
516

Analysis:  For this class any horse getting a DR above 600 is a very good sign .Ordered Steps on this No  False rails days will hit front and can manage to stay till end.Fashion Flame is certain place option.Arthur may find distance sharp.Our Commander has failed as fav and does not appeal due to jky factor.Star of Desire is not prepared,Encourager won in well planned coup,may run easy this time keeping the tradition of this stables.
12.Ordered Steps-Win
Tanalaà 12/7.11/7.11.9.3.8
*************************************************
Race2

Sl
Name
DR
5
YOUNG GALLANT
588
1
BLACK DRAGON
587
11
KIR ROYALE
584
9
THE BACK BENCHER -
575
3
CHARM AND DREAM
573
7
AFTERNOON DELIGHT
571
6
GUAPO
569
8
SMART MISTRAL
565
2
CEASARIA
562
4
LAKE EMERALD
560
10
HAUTE ECOLE
558
12
FLYINGHORSE
555

Analysis: Young Gallant has been very consistent ,blessed with speed,can upset,Only worry is jockey.Black Dragon is not sighted in tracks and runs in negative shoes,hence can be ignored.Kir Royale after good forward run in last race gets services of top rider and will be hot market fancy,can win.
11.Kir Royale-Win
Tanalaà 5.11/5.11/3.6.7.9
***************************************************************
Race3

Sl
Name
DR
1
GALWAY GIRL
614
3
SIVANTA
588
6
SECRET STRIKE
579
2
JEYEM’S PRIDE
570
8
ONE TO NOTE
562
7
GOLDEN CRUISE
559
12
WINNING DESIRE
557
5
TOUCH OF ROMANCE
555
10
TAMMY TUNE -
543
9
SWEET TODDY
536
11
ORIENTAL KING
534
4
SUNLINE
523

Analysis:  Class 5 horse getting a DR of 614 Clearly speaks volumes of its class.Though iam of opinion that a maiden horse running in class5 directly from maidens race is not a advisable bet but rest of the horses are so backward in form that one is forced to letgo that notion for one time here.One to Note is place certainity due to class factor
1.Galway Girl—Win
Tanalaà 1/3.6.2/2.3.6.8
***************************************************************
Race4

Sl
Name
DR
11
STRIVE AND SERVE
593
3
TRUST ME BOY
590
1
SHAKA ZULU
583
6
GRAND SUCCESS
576
4
KOHINOOR BLITZ
575
7
ALL FOR CASH
571
8
ABSOLUTE BRAVE
558
2
AL ATTATURK
558
9
DANCE WITH ME
530
10
BREEZO
519

Analysis:   Strive And Serve at this weight has very good chance to upset as it stays close to pace and can force a win in final furlong.Trust Me Boy was a very good winner but best till 1400mts only . ShakaZulu and Alattaturk are suspect over this distance
11.Strive And Serve-Win
Tanalaà 11/1.3/1.3.4.6
*************************************************
Race5

Sl
Name
DR
2
MAHIKI
599
7
ITS MY PARTY
589
4
KOHINOOR GLAMOUR
577
5
FIORITTA
574
3
AMAZON BAY
572
6
BEST MOVE
571
12
ICEPICK WILLIE
549
10
NERON
534
8
SWEET ANGEL
532
1
BETTER THAN EVER
520
11
SUPER SALONI
466
9
SEA RUNNER
433

Analysis:  Mahiki is from Mumbai,has class,looks very fit,can upset.Its My Party is not sighted in tracks and runs in negative shoes,hence can be ignored.Fioritta runs after a long layoff , inadequately prepared and  in negative shoes.Kohinoor Glamour will find distance sharp.Amazon Bay will find distance sharp.Ice Pick Ville which lost blood vessel in last race in Bangalore will run easy here
2.Mahiki-Win
Tanalaà2/3.5/3.5.12.4
***************************************************************
Race6

Sl
Name
DR
1
SHIVALIK STAR
659
7
WHISPERING GALLERY
651
5
INVINCIBLE PRINCE
650
8
TOPSPOT
645
2
ROCK WITH U
640
6
SECRET PUNCH
633
4
CHUL BUL PANDY
630
3
ISHPINGO
622

Analysis: Shivalik Star comes on top in all aspects and has great chance to win.Whispering Gallery is certain Shp/Place
1.Shivalik Star-Win
Tanalaà1/7/2.5.6
***********************************************
Race7

Sl
Name
DR
4
SOFAST
608
1
FRENEMEE
608
6
BEYOND THANKFUL
606
8
VIOLENT STORM
604
12
INDIAN ROYALTY
596
3
DIVINE FRIENDSHIP
591
9
SPEARTOOTH
591
5
COOL APPROACH
588
2
NOBLE AND NICE
588
11
SUMMER SUN
585
10
AUTUMN RUSH
582
7
IMPRESSIVE BOLT
548

Analysis: Close race but So Fast has slight advantage
4.So Fast-Win
Tanalaà 1.4/1.4.6.8/1.4.6.8.12
*********************************************  
Race8

Sl
Name
DR
5
WAR COMMAND
608
2
FINK
603
1
BOOKER JONES
594
6
ZUCCHERO
593
3
SUPER STRONG
587
4
SUPREME DOMINATOR
583

Analysis: Very very interesting race.Fink is retained at same rating after its win,infact running with 3.5 kgs less whereas horses finished behind it are now carrying 2-3 kgs more than their previous runs.War Command has better DR than Fink and will seriously test class of Fink.Last time I commented that if Fink wins then it will win Derby,I still stick to it and opt for Fink
2.Fink-Win
Tanalaà 2/5/1.3.6
**************************************************
Race9

Sl
Name
DR
2
THE ALCHEMIST
566
3
TRIPLE VICTORY
558
12
PROST
557
9
SAMAJDAAR
554
8
ROCKETEER
554
4
ALPINE SHINE
551
5
ROSIE’S DREAM
546
10
STONE WARRIOR
546
1
PEPPR
544
11
BIGSTORM
540
6
SHADES OF SCARLET
540
7
LAKE OF MAGIC
535

Analysis: But for Alchemist rest all are very closely matched.DR of Alchemist is not a ideal one but still on this No False rails day has slight advantage
2.The Alchemist-Win
Tanalaà 2/3.12.9.8/3.12.9.8.4.5.10
Race10

Sl
Name
DR
12
HERCULEAN
598
10
NUALA
595
3
CATCHY CHARGER
590
11
COUNTRY’S NOBILITY
588
9
COFFEE TIME
587
1
MAGIC WAVE
585
8
SNOW ANGEL
569
5
INDIAN
562
4
VIRTUOSO
559
6
LITTLE ATHENA
545
7
ACE PRINCESS
540
2
PAMUSHANA
530

Analysis: Herculean is running in negative change of shoes on promotion,hence ignored.Naula is running in most apt distance and among its group,can upset.Catchy Charger is under temporary trainer.Countrys Nobility is best as per class but ignoring due to Blks factor.Coffee Time is showing massive speed in trials,should be in 1-2
10.Naula-Win
Tanalaà 10.9/10.9/12.3.11.1.8
********************************************************8
Three Best Bets for the day-à  Strive And Serve,Mahiki and Shivalik Star
Jackpot



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